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    <![CDATA[<p>你好，欢迎访问个人主页！</p><p>擅长密码学，安全分析，数字水印等技术。</p><p>你可以联系我通过:findmykexin@gmail.com或者知乎私信。</p><p>我的知乎链接：<a href="https://www.zhihu.com/people/su-chi-dan-dao" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">苏迟但到 - 知乎 (zhihu.com)</a></p><p>我的github链接：<a href="https://github.com/kexinoh" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">kexinoh</a></p>]]>
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    <title>一个数从1开始，每次各有50%的概率乘0.9或者乘1.1，重复足够多的次数以后，情况会如何？</title>
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      <![CDATA[<p data-pid="kBPU-r_F">期望是1。</p><p data-pid="SYnNMag1">这个证明很简单（使用初中知识），如下</p><p data-pid="YLU7sEEd">1.当第一次时，期望是1。</p><p data-pid="JfFWt909">2.假设第n次的期望为1。</p><p data-pid="wTe9H6fO">3.下证第n+1次的期望也为1。</p><p data-pid="u_4FuYUS">对于任意第n次的期望项x和它的概率p,都有50%变为[1.1x，0.5p]和[0.9x,0.5p]。</p><p data-pid="gTO3t6vr">因此对于任意的第n次的期望项，到下一轮的期望项对应的期望值不会改变。因此总体的期望值不会改变。</p><p></p>]]>
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